The Mad Dog Minute
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50 Dime
AAC Lock
 
FAU at East Carolina - 8:00 ET



Daily Play Recap

11/6 - 50 Dime - Western Michigan - Loss
11/5 - 50 Dime - Ball State - Win
11/4 - 75 Dime - St. Joseph's (CB) - Loss
11/3 - 100 Dime - LA Chargers - Win
11/2 - 75 Dime - Tennessee - Loss
11/1 - 75 Dime - USF - Win



1st-Ever College 150 Dime Release of My Career
- Navy (-10) 34-7 at Air Force (10/5) - 
Check out my Analysis - 

We have a Commander-in-Chief battle at noon Eastern time today in Colorado Springs, as the undefeated Naval Academy rolling strong at 4-0 straight up, and 3 straight covers takes on the 1-3 Falcons of Air Force who have dropped all 4 of their games against the spread.

The local kick-off time for this service academy game is 10 am, and normally I would shy away from backing the visitor coming from the Eastern time zone and laying double-digits, but you know as well as I know that the Middies are used to waking up early and the kick time will NOT be an issue!

The point spread will also be a non-issue, as the Navy has lost 4 in a row, and 7 of the last 10 in this series, and has been outscored 93-26 during their current 4 game series slide to the propeller heads and want major revenge.

The Midshipmen will be longing to not only win this game in quadruple revenge, but also win it big, and this season they have the tools necessary to do just that.

Second-year head coach Brian Newberry has brought in former Mercer head coach Drew Cronic to coordinate the offense, and Cronic has this team averaging 46 points per game as quarterback Blake Horvath has looked like the second coming of Roger Staubach with 12 touchdowns and a lofty 11 yards per carry when running with the pigskin.

The Falcons offense has not topped 21 points in any of its 4 games this year, and the Force has allowed 62 points in their last pair of losses. 

Keep in mind that even though the Naval Academy has lost 4 straight to the Air Force, the Navy defense has not allowed more than 23 points in any of the last 3 setbacks, so it is doubtful to me that the Falcons are going to be able to post anywhere close to 20 points in today's home tilt.

Navy is the call here, and they are the call in a revenge (quadruple!) blowout.

Take the Middies to win by at least 17 points.


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50 Dime
AAC Lock
 
FAU at East Carolina - 8:00 ET
$99
I have been alternating wins and losses over the first 6 days of this month.

After a Tuesday 50 Dime MAC winner with Ball State plus the points, I gave it back last night with a 50 Dime loser on Western Michigan plus the points.

That means I am due for a win tonight, right?

50 Dime
AAC Lock
 
FAU at East Carolina - 8:00 ET

The goal is the winner tonight, and then winners on Friday, Saturday, and Sunday.

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Big Mike's Tompkin's Rating System

My focus, like any smart strategist, is on long-term success and building consistent profit over time.

As a seasoned analyst and former player, I like to keep things straightforward. That's why I developed the Yardage Rating System. It’s simple, intuitive, and keeps plays in perspective, just like measuring progress on the field.

At the top of my scale is the 100-yard play. This is my strongest recommendation, the kind of insight that doesn’t come along every day, but can make a significant impact when it does. 

Now I realize listing a play in terms of "yards" is somewhat confusing, although I think conceptually it so much simpler that any "star" system that others use. So, for sake of clarity, I will bow down to pressure and substitute the word "dimes" for "yards" as so many other handicappers do at this site.

Back to my system....

When I have smaller releases, like 50- or 75-yard plays, they shouldn’t be overlooked. Their value is all about context, how I’m reading the game at that moment in relation to the current state of our bankroll. 

Remember, it’s always about perspective. Each play has its place. Understanding that is key to making the most of my analysis.

Who is "Big Mike" Tompkins?

I've been in and around sports my entire life. Played three years of college football at the FCS level as a defensive lineman. At 6-7, 270 you know why they called me "Big Mike." Played basketball, too. After graduation, I was invited to the Buffalo Bills training camp, but an injury ended those dreams. I did, however, spend a few years playing Arena Football before I called it a career.

Bottom Line: I PLAYED the game. I KNOW the game. 

With years of experience on the field and behind the scenes, I bring you an unmatched blend of knowledge and expert analysis. Understanding game strategies provides me insight and an edge when handicapping. I offer daily analysis that goes beyond the numbers.

Today's Complimentary Play

They did not disappoint their Over players when the teams met on October 6th in Cincinnati. The Ravens and the Bengals combined for 79 points in a game that landed well over the posted total of 48 1/2 points. I do not think they will disappoint the Over players today when they play for the second time this season in Baltimore.

These AFC North rivals have landed Over the total in 3 in a row, and 6 of their last 8 overall series showdowns.

Cincy has played Over the total in their last pair of games, and in 6 of their last 8 games overall, while Baltimore has landed Over the total in each of their last 5 games this season, and in 8 of their 9 games this year.

Count on one more shootout between Joe Burrow and Lamar Jackson today at M&T Bank Stadium.

Bengals and Ravens Over the total.

4♦ CINCINNATI-BALTIMORE OVER
(On a 1♦ to 5♦ basis)