If it ain't broke, don't fix it, right?
The UNLV Rebels are one of a handful teams that are 4-0 ATS this season, and for three straight weeks I've given them to you for free. Let's make it four in a row, as the Rebels return from El Paso at 3-1 and ready to take a huge step by opening Mountain West Conference play 1-0.
The Rebels have opened the season with one of the more proficient rushing games, averaging 190.8 yards per game, not to mention one of the highest-scoring offenses with 34.0 points per game.
And that includes the 35-7 loss at Michigan.
The Rebels now own wins over SEC's Vanderbilt and the Conference USA's UTEP.
The intangible I like most about this team is special teams, as UNLV boasts one of the most dangerous kick return units in the nation, ranking fourth with 31.5 yards per return. It's helped put the Rebels in good field position, and when they're in the Red Zone, they have the 13th-most efficient offense witha 94.4% conversion rate.
Hawai'i is 2-3, including a 35-28 loss to the same Vandy team that UNLV beat two weeks ago. And the problem is the Warriors don't have near as explosive an offense as the Rebels.
Look for UNLV to roll past Hawai'i on Saturday, and inch closer to a bowl berth.